Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.029227 0.031970 0.034679 0.037550 0.040501 0.043441 0.046587
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.023746 0.028170 0.032654 0.037513 0.042607 0.047770 0.053378
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.020251 0.025813 0.031576 0.037931 0.044689 0.051618 0.059222
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016725 0.023023 0.029698 0.037181 0.045243 0.053594 0.062833
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014278 0.021164 0.028616 0.037091 0.046319 0.055953 0.066681
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.012031 0.019336 0.027415 0.036734 0.046982 0.057759 0.069826
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009972 0.017557 0.026147 0.036194 0.047350 0.059163 0.072458
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007666 0.015296 0.024204 0.034801 0.046697 0.059388 0.073750
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006888 0.014847 0.024308 0.035666 0.048490 0.062224 0.077810
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005782 0.013885 0.023749 0.035729 0.049351 0.064005 0.080692
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004360 0.012365 0.022447 0.034883 0.049149 0.064584 0.082231
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003595 0.011671 0.022106 0.035116 0.050130 0.066435 0.085124
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002476 0.010419 0.021153 0.034763 0.050614 0.067924 0.087840
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001529 0.009266 0.020301 0.034546 0.051287 0.069670 0.090898
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000937 0.008551 0.019969 0.034920 0.052616 0.072126 0.094718
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000259 0.007252 0.018768 0.034187 0.052627 0.073077 0.096848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.006413 0.018127 0.034098 0.053352 0.074799 0.099800
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005504 0.017311 0.033751 0.053744 0.076119 0.102279
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004580 0.016390 0.033228 0.053897 0.077143 0.104405
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003360 0.014868 0.031877 0.053031 0.076980 0.105182
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003204 0.015047 0.032716 0.054761 0.079758 0.109224
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002736 0.014648 0.032777 0.055542 0.081440 0.112024
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001971 0.013613 0.031956 0.055238 0.081859 0.113394